Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.011309 0.013631 0.016517 0.020444 0.025776 0.032966 0.043770
2025-05-25 0.008038 0.010490 0.013914 0.019275 0.027937 0.042410 0.071237
2025-06-01 0.006410 0.008777 0.012333 0.018441 0.029612 0.051695 0.108339
2025-06-08 0.005615 0.008003 0.011822 0.018948 0.033607 0.068064 0.187265
2025-06-15 0.004917 0.007212 0.011054 0.018686 0.035928 0.082979 0.302428
2025-06-22 0.004257 0.006362 0.009993 0.017521 0.035687 0.091147 0.425805
2025-06-29 0.003900 0.005960 0.009639 0.017674 0.038745 0.113541 0.791395
2025-07-06 0.003672 0.005739 0.009572 0.018417 0.043870 0.152267 1.995827
2025-07-13 0.003546 0.005680 0.009799 0.019914 0.052393 0.227878 10.827907
2025-07-20 0.003364 0.005489 0.009721 0.020638 0.059035 0.317805 222.107545
2025-07-27 0.003156 0.005222 0.009435 0.020727 0.063484 0.414709 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002993 0.005023 0.009264 0.021095 0.069622 0.575308 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002757 0.004677 0.008765 0.020528 0.071989 0.736192 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002507 0.004282 0.008103 0.019314 0.070435 0.836634 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002310 0.003973 0.007600 0.018476 0.070451 1.006601 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002207 0.003849 0.007517 0.018984 0.079190 1.733799 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002077 0.003654 0.007231 0.018722 0.082995 2.562024 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001919 0.003384 0.006726 0.017554 0.079397 2.779964 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001835 0.003268 0.006593 0.017707 0.086191 5.116262 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001783 0.003216 0.006613 0.018452 0.099467 16.129643 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001761 0.003226 0.006803 0.019953 0.124022 377.842002 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001711 0.003169 0.006801 0.020679 0.143396 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.001644 0.003069 0.006663 0.020768 0.155837 NaN NaN